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Image credit: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh

FACT SHEET: Climate change and heat waves

Climate change, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels, is (ClimateData.ca 2024). These heat waves are threatening the safety, well-being, and prosperity of Canadians鈥攅ven in cities that have historically had more moderate climates, such as Vancouver, Whitehorse, and Halifax.

Globally, 2024 was the , and the past ten years were the ten warmest years on record (World Meteorological Organization 2025). Canada, which is than anywhere else on earth, is suffering the consequences of the overheating climate (McBean 2024).

Climate change fuels heat waves

  • Climate change increases the frequency of extreme heat, and makes heat waves hotter, , and (Environment and Climate Change Canada 2025; Borenstein 2024; Hagemann 2018).
  • Canada is warming as the global average, and Canada鈥檚 Arctic is warming (Government of Canada 2019; Rantanen et al. 2022). 
  • Climate projections show that by the second half of this century, many Canadian cities will see at least on average compared to historical data (Climate Atlas of Canada n.d.).
  • The June 2024 heat wave that struck central and Eastern Canada was due to climate change, with temperatures over 10 degrees higher than normal in parts of Quebec and Atlantic Canada (Shingler 2024).

Climate-fuelled heat makes wildfires worse  

  • Climate change the likelihood of extreme fire weather conditions (high temperatures, low humidity, and drought conditions) in Eastern Canada in 2023, and made Qu茅bec’s season 50 per cent more intense (World Weather Attribution 2023). 
  • Heat waves make it easier for wildfires to start and spread by increasing the likelihood of , the primary cause of wildfires (P茅rez-Invern贸n et al. 2023). They also dry out vegetation, making it (Natural Resources Canada 2024).
  • During the , the number of active wildfires rose from six to 175, consuming nearly 79,000 hectares, including the entire town of Lytton (White et al. 2023).
  • For more information on climate change and wildfires, please see our wildfires fact sheet.

Climate-fuelled extreme heat is causing rising death rates and health issues across Canada

  • A study in found that between 1981 and 2018, 37 per cent of heat-related deaths globally were attributable to climate change (Vicedo-Cabrera et al. 2021). This increased mortality is evident on every continent. 
  • include cardiovascular events, respiratory conditions, kidney disease, adverse pregnancy outcomes, and mental health impacts such as increased anxiety, depression, and aggressive behavior (Bell et. al 2024).
  • have been documented during and following heat waves in Canada (Government of Canada 2024).  The 2021 heat wave caused an estimated , making it the deadliest disaster in B.C.鈥檚 recorded history (BC Coroners Service 2022). 
  • Our research shows that without action on adaptation and health system preparation, B.C. could average 1,370 heat-related deaths per year by 2030 (Beugin et al. 2023).
  • Scientists that the 2021 B.C. heat wave would have been virtually impossible without human-caused climate change (Philip et al. 2022).
  • A concluded that elevated summer temperatures in Qu茅bec are linked to 470 deaths, 225 hospitalizations, 36,000 emergency room visits, 7,200 ambulance transports, and 15,000 calls to Info-Sant茅 every year. 
  • With climate change, the number of heat-related illnesses and deaths could double or even quadruple in the province by 2050 (Boudreault et al. 2024). 

The economic burden of climate-fuelled extreme heat is growing

  • Our 2021 report The Health Costs of Climate Change projected that the costs of heat-related deaths and reduced quality of life from extreme heat in Canada would range from $3 billion to $3.9 billion per year by mid-century (Clark et al. 2021). 
  • Our analysis shows that the 2021 heat wave in B.C. caused $12 million in additional healthcare costs, and that the societal costs from premature deaths were $5.5 billion (Beugin et al., 2023).
  • Canada鈥檚 manufacturing sector alone could see annual losses of $1-2 billion by 2050, due to the productivity impacts of heat waves on the workforce (Clark et al. 2021).
  • Our 2021 report Under Water: The Costs of Climate Change for Canada鈥檚 Infrastructure estimated that by mid-century, annual heat-driven damage to roads and railways could increase by over $5 billion and damage to electricity infrastructure could increase by over $1 billion (Ness et al., 2021). 

Governments can act to protect communities and slow further warming

  • Scientists have warned that the consequences of climate change will only get worse as the concentration of heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere increases (IPCC 2022).
  • Governments must act immediately to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and limit global warming, while adapting and preparing for the health and safety risks from extreme heat.
  • Adaptation strategies can improve outcomes for , including the elderly, children, people with chronic illness, and socioeconomically disadvantaged groups (Health Canada 2011). 
  • Effective adaptation strategies include:
    • Installing indoor cooling devices like heat pumps or air conditioning, and planting green roofs and trees for shade. Our analysis shows these could reduce heat-related deaths and hospitalization 12 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively, in B.C. by the 2030s (Beugin et al. 2023). 
    • Providing employers and the public with information on how to stay safe during extreme heat waves.
    • Sending early heat warnings to allow people, communities and responders to prepare.
    • Designing infrastructure to withstand extreme heat and rainfall, potentially reducing damage costs by 80 per cent by the end of the century, or up to $3.1 billion each year (Ness et al. 2021).
    • in rental housing to protect tenants from extreme heat (Lawton 2025).

Resources

  • (Clarke and Otto 2024) 
  • (World Meteorological Organization, 2023)
  • (Government of Canada 2024)
  • (PreparedBC 2024)
  • (Climate Atlas of Canada 2024)

Experts available for comment and background information on this topic:

  • Ryan Ness is Director of Adaptation research at the 91色情片 and the lead researcher on the Institute鈥檚 Cost of Climate Change series. Ryan est 茅galement disponible pour des entretiens en fran莽ais.  (Eastern Time, English and French).

For more information or to arrange an interview, please contact: 

Claudine Brul茅
Communications and Media Relations Specialist
cbrule@climateinstitute.ca
(514) 358-8525 

References

BC Coroners Service. 2022. Extreme Heat and Human Mortality: A Review of Heat-Related Deaths in B.C. in Summer 2021. June 7.   

Bell, Michelle L., Antonio Gasparrini, and Georges C. Benjamin. 2024. 鈥淐limate Change, Extreme Heat, and Health鈥 eds. Caren G. Solomon and Renee N. Salas. New England Journal of Medicine 390(19): 1793鈥1801. doi:.

Beugin, Dale, Dylan Clark, Sarah Miller, Ryan Ness, Ricardo Pelai, and Janna Wale. 2023. The case for adapting to extreme heat: Costs of the 2021 B.C. heat wave. 91色情片. /reports/extreme-heat-in-canada/ 

Borenstein, Seth. 2024. 鈥淪tudy says since 1979 climate change has made heat waves last longer, spike hotter, hurt more people.鈥 Associated Press, March 29.    

Boudreault, J茅r茅mie, 脡ric Lavigne, C茅line Campagna, and Fateh Chebana. 2024. 鈥淓stimating the heat-related mortality and morbidity burden in the province of Quebec, Canada.鈥 Environmental Research, September 14.  

Bratu, Andreea, Kiffer G. Card, Kalysha Closson, Niloufar Aran, Carly Marshall, Susan Clayton, Maya K. Gislason, Hasina Samji, Gina Martin, Melissa Lem, Carmen H. Logie, Tim K. Takaro, and Robert S. Hogg. 2022. 鈥淭he 2021 Western North American heat dome increased climate change anxiety among British Columbians: Results from a natural experiment.鈥 The Journal of Climate Change and Health, May.  

Clark, Dylan, Ryan Ness, Dena Coffman, and Dale Beugin. 2021. The Health Costs of Climate Change: How Canada Can Adapt, Prepare, and Save Lives. 91色情片. /reports/the-health-costs-of-climate-change/ 

Clarke, Ben, and Friederike Otto. 2024. 鈥淩eporting extreme weather and climate change: A guide of journalists.鈥 World Weather Attribution.  

Climate Atlas of Canada. (n.d.) Urban Heat Island Effect. Prairie Climate Centre.  

Climate Atlas of Canada. 2024. 鈥淗eath impacts of extreme heat.鈥  

ClimateData.ca. 2024. 鈥淗eat waves and climate change.鈥  

Communicating the Health Risks of Extreme Heat Events: Toolkit for Public Health and Emergency Management Officials. 2011. Ottawa, Ontario: Health Canada.

Environment and Climate Change Canada (2025) Canadian Environmental Sustainability Indicators: Extreme heat events. Consulted on Month day, year.  Available at:   

Government of Canada. 2019. 鈥淐anada鈥檚 climate is warming twice as fast as global average.鈥 Press release. April 2.   

Government of Canada. 2024. 鈥淓xtreme heat events: Overview.鈥 May 7.  

Hagemann, Hannah. 2018. 鈥淣orthern Hemisphere Heat Waves Covering More Area than Before.鈥.

Henderson, Sarah B., Kathleen E. McLean, Michael J. Lee, and Tom Kosatsky. 2021. 鈥淓xtreme heat events are public health emergencies.鈥 BC Medical Journal, November. 

International Labour Organization. 2024. Ensuring safety and health at work in a changing climate. April 22.  

IPCC, 2022. Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Cambridge University Press.    

Kirchmeier-Young, Megan, N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, A. J. Cannon, and F. S. Anslow. 2019. 鈥淎ttribution of the influence of human-induced climate change on an extreme fire season.鈥 Earth’s Future, January.  

Lawton, Betsy. 2025. 鈥淗ome Cooling Policies Can Combat Health Impacts of Extreme Heat, But Should Be Paired with Strategies to Reduce Unintended Consequences.鈥.

McBean, Gordon. 2024. “2023 was the hottest year in history 鈥 and Canada is warming faster than anywhere else on earth.鈥 The Conversation, January 11.  

Natural Resources Canada. 2024a. 鈥淐anada鈥檚 record-breaking wildfires in 2023: A fiery wake-up call.鈥 May 21.  

Ness, Ryan, Dylan G. Clark, Julien Bourque, Dena Coffman, and Dale Beugin. 2021. Under Water: The Costs of Climate Change for Canada鈥檚 Infrastructure. 91色情片. /reports/under-water/ 

Parisien, Marc-Andr茅, Quinn E. Barber, Mathieu L. Bourbonnais, Lori D. Daniels, Mike D. Flannigan, Robert W. Gray, Kira M. Hoffman, Piyush Jain, Scott L. Stephens, Steve W. Taylor, and Ellen Whitman. 2023. 鈥淎brupt, climate-induced increase in wildfires in British Columbia since the mid-2000s.鈥 Communications Earth & Environment, September 5.  

P茅rez-Invern贸n, F.J., F.J. Gordillo-V谩zquez, H.  Huntrieser,  et al. 鈥淰ariation of lightning-ignited wildfire patterns under climate change.鈥 Nature Communications  14, 739 (2023).

Philip, Sjoukje Y., Sarah F. Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, et al. 2022. 鈥淩apid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021.鈥 Earth System Dynamics, December 8.   

PreparedBC. 2024. 鈥淓xtreme heat preparedness guide.鈥 Government of British Columbia.  

Rantanen, Mika, Alexey Yu. Karpechko, Antti Lipponen, et al. 2022. 鈥淭he Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979.鈥 Commun Earth Environ 3, 168.  

Shingler, Benjamin. 2024. 鈥淐anada draws link between June heat wave and climate change with new attribution analysis.鈥 CBC, July 9.  

Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., N. Scovronick, F. Sera, et al. 2021. 鈥淭he burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change.鈥 Nature Climate Change, May 31.  

White, Rachel H., Sam Anderson, et al. 2023. 鈥淭he unprecedented Pacific Northwest heatwave of June 2021.鈥 Nature Communications, February 9.  

World Meteorological Organization. 2023. 鈥淐limate change and heatwaves.鈥 September 21.  

World Meteorological Organization. 2025. 鈥淲MO confirms 2024 as warmest year on record at about 1.55掳C above pre-industrial level鈥 January 10.

World Weather Attribution. 2023. 鈥淐limate change more than doubled the likelihood of extreme fire weather conditions in Eastern Canada.鈥 August 22.

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